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ELECTION 2025: Your Guide to GWS Electorates
As a ‘swing region’ with a collection of marginal seats from Homebush to the Hawkesbury, and from Blacktown to Campbelltown, GWS has helped determine the outcome national and state elections for the past two decades. This year the competition to gain favour amongst federal voters has been even more heated, with the region forming an epicentre of population pressure, housing shortages and the all-encompassing cost of living crisis.
That’s why we have analysed every single seat ahead of polling day which you can read by clicking on the image on the right.
One of the defining factors for this election is the proportion of voters under 45 years old. Millennials and Gen Z voters make up the majority of eligible residents in some electorates for the first time, and the influence of this will be interesting to watch.
Voters are looking at different hyperlocal, national and international issues from electorate to electorate. Some will join the growing trend of supporting a minor party or independent, others want a change to hopefully bring a break from financial pressure, some will turn more strongly to a major party with hope of stability, and others will favour their local member, or the respective Party leaders, on a personal basis.
Each of the GWS electorates are covered within the following document which provides an overview of the key issues, demographics, and trends. We trust you find this analysis of interest, we certainly welcome your feedback and we urge you all to enjoy your right and obligation to vote on May 3, while enjoying a ‘democracy sausage’ at the polling booth (unless you vote early like half the nation).
Election Promise Tracker
Don’t forget, the Dialogue is tracking every single major pledge made to Greater Western Sydney by the major parties in our online election promise tracker.
With over $3 billion committed to the region between the Prime Minister and Opposition Leader, as well as multiple visits by both leaders, we have mapped out their biggest pledges and promises.
Both leaders have visited the region multiple times this election with their trademark cost-of-living pledges. We’ve seen Anthony Albanese holding his Medicare card spruiking his investment in health, and Peter Dutton pumping petrol in Liverpool and Parramatta to promote his cut to the fuel excise.
However, it could be the local road upgrades and hyperlocal commitments that swing votes in a tight election.
You can see every single election commitment that is made for Greater Western Sydney in our election promise tracker here.
Generation Next in GWS to be Decisive
This election will be defined by voters under 45 in Australia and Greater Western Sydney, and the Dialogue’s analysis – published exclusively in the Sydney Morning Herald – proves it.
Millennial and Gen Z voters will be the dominant voting bloc in key seats in Greater Western Sydney (GWS) for the first time, as the federal election shapes up as a battle to win the hearts and minds of young voters.
Analysis of the latest Australian Electoral Commission voter roll data by leading think-tank, the Western Sydney Leadership Dialogue, shows all 16 electorates in GWS have Gen Z and Millennials making up over 40% of voters in their seats, compared to four electorates in 2022.
An additional 203,536 Millennial and Gen Z voters are enrolled to vote in GWS since the 2022 election, with those under 45 making up more than 50% of voters in six GWS electorates.
In an election where close to one million Gen Z & Millennial voters will cast a ballot in GWS, Dialogue CEO Adam Leto said both major parties need to put forward policies that respond to the needs of younger voters, particularly on issues such as housing affordability.
“Many millennials are struggling to afford to buy a home, while at the same time finding it tough to pay rent – and they’re desperate for a solution,” Mr Leto said.
Click here to view the map of elecorates and their proportion of voters under 45 this election.
Dialogue 2025 Election Commentary
